2014 Predictions. 2013 Year in Review Predictions for 2014 Podcast Summary 0:00-3:40 Introduction 3:40-10:30 Discussion of GDP and quantitative easing (QE); scarcity in the economy- jobs, wages, doctors, home sales and increases in real estate and stock market prices; intervention and manipulation of markets by the Fed; papering over the structural scarcity of the economy; … Read More →
The Fed’s Reasons Not To Taper QE The Fed’s Excuses Not To Taper Quantitative Easing Podcast Summary Ryan reviews the recent decision of the Fed to keep their interest rate policy the same along with keeping quantitative easing in place. Ryan predicts interest rates would trade within a tight range and notes that the Fed … Read More →
After the September Fed meeting we heard a bunch a noise from a few Fed Presidents about how they “might” taper their $85 billion a month quantitative easing (QE) program in October, depending on the data. Then the government shut down in October and the data was unavailable. The data that we have seen recently … Read More →
The End of the Recovery Podcast Summary Ryan discusses the the Syrian situation and its impact on interest rates. Ryan reviews the ADP payroll numbers and the initial jobless claims and notes that they were not too good but the market thinks they were not bad enough to cause the Fed not to taper its … Read More →
The Recovery is Worse Than The Recession How To Buy Gold How to Buy Silver “A bad peace is even worse than war” – Publius Cornelius Tacitus, Roman Senator and Historian We wrote here over the past several months that the air would soon start coming out of the housing bubblet. We noted that the … Read More →
To Taper or Not To Taper Cumulative Summary of the Fed’s Position on Tapering QE: “We need more of what didn’t work to make sure it’s working and we need more data and we said we would taper, so there, but no rush!” Summary Of Podcast Ryan and Louis discuss the initial jobless claims and … Read More →
What Happens When QE ends? How to Buy Gold How To Buy Silver “The United States can pay any debt it has because it can always print money to do that.” Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan responding to a question as to whether United States Treasuries were safe to invest in. From a (kinda) … Read More →
Can Central Banks Fix the Economy? Summary of Podcast Ryan and Louis discuss the initial jobless claim data released this week. Louis points out that fewer people not losing their jobs is not the same as people getting jobs. Louis and Ryan discuss St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard’s recent statement on tapering and … Read More →
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Never Mind the Bullards!
Bullard Needs to See More Data “The Fed needs to see more data on macroeconomic performance for the second half of 2013 before making a judgment” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard’s pretty vacant explanation about the pace of its $85 billion-per-month program of bond buying. After talking taper for months it … Read More →
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