The Fed Will Raise Interest Rates

The Fed Will Raise Interest Rates The Fed will raise interest rates on the pretext/false narrative that the economy is doing well. If data continues to come in negative the Fed will insist it is transitory and the economy will improve in the second half. Higher interest rates are necessary to promote U.S. Treasury Bond Read More →

Ten Reasons the Real Estate Market WON’T Go Ballistic This Spring

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Ten Reasons the Real Estate Market WON’T Go Ballistic This Spring The podcast ends with a critique of a recent Fortune article titled “Ten Reasons the Real Estate Market Could Go Ballistic This Spring” (see below) Podcast Summary Introduction: 0:00-3:58 What’s Next for the Fed? 3:58-7:36 The Fed has chatted the dollar higher with all Read More →

The Housing Recovery that Never Was Is Over

the economy is being held up by QE which is ending

The Housing Recovery is Over Real Estate News The housing recovery has been limited to rising prices as existing home and new home sales remained depressed. Is the home price recovery coming to an end? There is a hole in the housing bubble balloon that can’t be patched. The one (and only) undeniable feature of Read More →

The Housing Recovery & the Law of Small Numbers

small number can produce big gains

The Housing Recovery And The Law of Small Numbers. The housing recovery is not as big as the press makes it out to be. Any gains are coming off historically low numbers. Check out the Smaulgld Gold Buying Guide Check out the Smaulgld Silver Buying Guide Real Estate News The Housing Recovery and the Law Read More →

Housing Recovery? : Mortgage Applications Drop to 20 Year Low

Mortgage Applications at a Twenty Year Low Buy Physical Silver Online Real Estate News Podcast Summary 0:00-5:35 – Intro Mortgage Applications Down & Mortgage Department Layoffs and the Media Myth of a Housing Recovery 5:35:11:37 Discussion of the Fed and their view of the weather and its impact on the economy. Discussion of the banks Read More →

Why the Housing “Recovery” is a Farce – Illustrated by Two Charts

The Housing Recovery is a Farce Home sales and new home construction are down. Home sales to first time home buyers are at historic lows, yet many believe there is a housing recovery. The charts tell a different story. Buy Physical Silver Online Real Estate News Since the start of Smaulgld.com we have been covering Read More →

The False Housing Recovery of 2013 and How it Unraveled

The False Housing Recovery How To Buy Gold How to Buy Silver Update: The False Housing Recovery of 2014 “Declining housing affordability conditions are likely responsible for the bulk of reduced contract activity” Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist announcing that pending house sales plunged 5.6% in September The Decline and Fall of the 2013 Housing Read More →

Increase in New Home Starts and New Home Permits – A False Signal?

Low Interest Rates Send False Signal to Home Builders Are home builders receiving a false signal from artificially low interest rates causing them to build more homes than they can sell? Home Builder’s False Signal. How To Buy Gold How to Buy Silver “The entrepreneur must estimate present and future costs and future revenues and Read More →

Waiting for Household Formation

Millennials Are Not Forming Households Fast Enough To Support the Housing Recovery How To Buy Gold How to Buy Silver “This is the time of year to write to the Great Pumpkin“- Peanuts character Linus “You must be crazy. When are you going to stop believing in something that isn’t true?” – Peanuts character Charlie Read More →

The Recovery Has Reversed Course – Welcome to the Revocery

Welcome to the Recovery! How To Buy Gold How to Buy Silver Real Estate News The recovery that started in 2009 and never really progressed has reversed. The recovery is over. Welcome to the Revocery. QE- Recovery Medicine or Extension of Bailonomics? The current recovery was artificially born in 2009 from the ashes of the Read More →