Never Mind the Bullards!

Bullard Needs to See More Data “The Fed needs to see more data on macroeconomic performance for the second half of 2013 before making a judgment” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard’s pretty vacant explanation about the pace of its $85 billion-per-month program of bond buying. After talking taper for months it Read More →

Funding the Government Without the Fed and Quantitative Easing – Podcast 8.9.13

Much has been said about the potential impact on the real estate and stock markets if the Federal Reserve were to taper its quantitative easing program or to eliminate it altogether. The debate centers around whether and by how much rates would rise and what impact that would have on the real estate and stock Read More →

Initial Jobless Claims

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Initial Jobless Claims “BREAKING: U.S. unemployment aid applications up only 5,000 to 333,000 – a level that signals steady job gains“. An Associated Press Tweet August 8 2013 (Mis)interpreting Initial Jobless Claims Data -The Initial Jobless Claims Myth Initial Jobless Claims Misinterpreted Each week economists and journalists eagerly await the unemployment application numbers from the Read More →

Why Interest Rates are Rising – Podcast 8.2.13

Why Are Interest Rates Rising? Summary of the Podcast Ryan reviews the ADP employment and the Bureau of Labor Statistics report the latter showing poor job growth while the former showed good job growth. Louis notes that the BLS report was not good as half new jobs were in retail or restaurants and there was Read More →

Can the Housing Recovery Continue?

Can the Housing Recovery Continue? Real Estate News Who Will Buy the Houses to Sustain the Real Estate Market? The current real estate recovery is characterized by higher home prices driven by low inventory and high demand relative to the existing inventory. The demand is driven by Fed induced low interest rates that has invited Read More →

FOMC Meets- And Their Decision?…….

Get Free Updates From Smaulgld.com Subscribe to Smaulgld.com and get the free “In Case You Missed It” weekly email as well as updates and analysis on gold, silver, real estate and the economy. Also get the free report “Twelve Key Differences Between Gold and Silver” when you subscribe. enter email address Please visit the Smaulgld Read More →

The Dark Side of Rising Home Prices

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The Dark Side of Rising Home Prices What’s Wrong With Higher Home Prices? The Real Estate Industry and Media Tout Rising Home Prices as a Good Thing, But Are They? Real Estate News I guess I don’t buy your premise, its a pretty unlikely possibility, we have never had a decline in housing prices on Read More →

Real Estate Marketing Gone Wrong

Real Estate Marketing Gone Wrong Real Estate Marketing “Right now may actually be one of the best times to buy a home” National Association of Realtors 2006 Marketing Campaign As it turned out when that statement was made, it was probably the worst time to buy a home. Promoting home ownership as a primary real Read More →

Obama’s Better Bargain – Podcast 7.24.13

Obama’s Better Bargain “I’m going to challenge CEOs from some of America’s best companies to hire more Americans” President Obama at Knox College July 24, 2013 Obama’s Better Bargain – Podcast 7.25.13 Summary of the Podcast Ryan and Louis discuss Fed Chairman’s Congressional testimony. Ryan noted that rates have gone lower due to recent dovish Read More →

Exuberantly Rational

“But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade?” Alan Greenspan December 1996 Alan Greenspan thus noted the difficulty in trying to determine when market activity boosts asset values to irrational unsustainable levels. Read More →