The Part Time Recovery – Podcast 7/5/2013

The Part Time Recovery Are we becoming a nation of part timers? Introduction: 0:00-1:40 Discussion of the upcoming job report number & unemployment rate releases & predictions on the impact of a potentially improving job market 1:40-7:05 Discussion of mortgages & the float down option mortgage 7:05-10:06 Louis predicts that if the jobs number comes Read More →

The Futility of Consumer Demand and Sentiment

Consumer Sentiment “Demand and desire are infinite, supply and production while often plentiful, are always finite” – Smaulgld Last week we noted that Consumer Sentiment is a poor economic indicator. Consumer sentiment is up despite a rash of poor economic reports indicating that the consumer’s positive outlook is Panglossian. Seems like consumers have bought into Read More →

Temporary Temp Workers or Permanent Temp Workers?

The Part-Time Economy and Part Time Recovery The Huffington Post recently reported that one fifth of all new jobs created since the recession ended were temporary jobs. It’s tough being under 30 today. For the baby boomers growing up in the 1950’s and ’60’s being under 30 was like getting a lottery ticket – at Read More →

Mandatory Retirement Accounts?

Mandatory Retirement Accounts “A government big enough to give you everything you want, is big enough to take away everything you have.” attributed to Thomas Jefferson How to Buy Gold How to Buy Silver UPDATE: January 29, 2014: Obama Announces MyRA Retirement Savings Accounts The Fed’s Exit Strategy? There has been a lot of talk Read More →

If the Fed Stops Buying U.S. Treasuries, Who Will Buy Them? – Podcast 6.24.13

If the Fed Doesn’t Buy U.S.Treasuries, Who Will? Podcast Summary Ryan and Louis discuss the recent rise in interest rates. Louis notes that when rates move higher they move fast.Louis note that the refi market was killed due to the taper talk from the Fed. Louis thinks the economy will start to slow and that Read More →

The Fed’s Exit Strategy – Podcast 6.12.13

Announcing Smaulgld’s You Tube Channel with our first podcast: The Fed’s No Exit Dilemma Get Free Updates From Smaulgld.com Subscribe to Smaulgld.com and get the free “In Case You Missed It” weekly email as well as updates and analysis on gold, silver, real estate and the economy. Also get the free report “Twelve Key Differences Read More →

The King is Surrounded: Bernanke’s No Exit Dilemma

“To print or note to print that is the question;-Whether tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of economic misfortune, or to print volumes against a sea of troubles, and by opposing end them?” Imaginary ruminations of Ben Bernanke Last week was a bad week for Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. The Read More →

Why Sentiment is a Poor Economic Indicator

Today’s Empire Fed index showed a very positive sentiment reading despite the economic data showing Shipments down Orders down Unfilled Orders down Delivery Time down Inventories down Number of Employees down Avg Workweek down Expected number of employees down Nearly all the economic indicators in the report were down yet, sentiment was up! The National Read More →

The Coming Real Estate Supply/Demand Inventory Reversal

Real Estate Supply and Demand Real Estate News “Housing prices have risen dramatically not because of simple supply and demand, but because the Fed literally created demand by making the cost of borrowing money artificially cheap” Ron Paul 2007 The real estate market as measured by price increase (not volume of sales) is recovering. This Read More →

Fed Puts Markets on Notice:Possible Discontinuation of 24/7 Happy Hour

“Hitler will send no warning- so always carry your gas mask” – British Ministry of Home Security poster circa the Sitzkrieg* (October 1939-April 1940) The economy is already wearing an over sized Fed tailored suit and now the market is worried that the Fed might “taper” that suit. Here is what the Fed has already Read More →