The Dark Side Of Artificially Low Interest Rates

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Artificially Low Interest Rates Update November 29, 2016: Click here to see the Smaulgld commentary video to this report below. Artificially low interest rates are bad for the economy. “Public opinion always wants easy money, that is, low interest rates” – Ludvig Von Mises, A Critique of Interventionism Over the past decade or so the Read More →

Increase in New Home Starts and New Home Permits – A False Signal?

Low Interest Rates Send False Signal to Home Builders Are home builders receiving a false signal from artificially low interest rates causing them to build more homes than they can sell? Home Builder’s False Signal. How To Buy Gold How to Buy Silver “The entrepreneur must estimate present and future costs and future revenues and Read More →

Exuberantly Rational

“But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade?” Alan Greenspan December 1996 Alan Greenspan thus noted the difficulty in trying to determine when market activity boosts asset values to irrational unsustainable levels. Read More →

The Futility of Consumer Demand and Sentiment

Consumer Sentiment “Demand and desire are infinite, supply and production while often plentiful, are always finite” – Smaulgld Last week we noted that Consumer Sentiment is a poor economic indicator. Consumer sentiment is up despite a rash of poor economic reports indicating that the consumer’s positive outlook is Panglossian. Seems like consumers have bought into Read More →

The Coming Real Estate Supply/Demand Inventory Reversal

Real Estate Supply and Demand Real Estate News “Housing prices have risen dramatically not because of simple supply and demand, but because the Fed literally created demand by making the cost of borrowing money artificially cheap” Ron Paul 2007 The real estate market as measured by price increase (not volume of sales) is recovering. This Read More →

Dallas Fed President – Fed Needs to Get off the Monetary Cocaine

Dallas Fed President Monetary Cocaine First it was the hard money Austrian Economic types like Ron Paul, Peter Schiff and Jim Rogers warning on the ills of the Fed’s monetary easing. In recent times we have heard similar warnings from the Bank of International Settlements, Bill Gross and even the Federal Reserve’s own advisory council. Read More →

…as the Band Played on, the Crowd Called For an Encore

The Economic and Real Estate Recovery is Based On QE “You can ignore reality, but you can’t ignore the consequences of reality” – Ayn Rand It’s raining horrible economic news, yet the real estate and stock markets are staying dry and heading higher. It has been nearly five years since the financial crisis of 2008. Read More →